Head to head

Italy vs Nicaragua

If they played today

Italy at home
77% / 15% / 8%
Italy win / draw / Nicaragua win
Italy–Nicaragua
  • 2–0 14.5%
  • 1–0 12.3%
  • 3–0 11.4%
  • 2–1 8.6%
  • 1–1 7.3%
Neutral venue
70% / 18% / 11%
Italy win / draw / Nicaragua win
Italy–Nicaragua
  • 2–0 13.0%
  • 1–0 12.0%
  • 2–1 9.4%
  • 3–0 9.4%
  • 1–1 8.7%
Nicaragua at home
63% / 21% / 16%
Italy win / draw / Nicaragua win
Italy–Nicaragua
  • 1–0 11.7%
  • 2–0 11.5%
  • 1–1 10.0%
  • 2–1 9.8%
  • 3–0 7.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

 ItalyNicaragua
Current Elo19221491
Elo rank19th115th
Peak Elo2140 (2021)1539 (2024)
Matches played893222
All-time record477W 243D 173L51W 27D 144L
Goals for1565234
Goals against876534
Biggest win10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly7–0 vs Turks and Caicos Islands · 2021-03-27 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly0–10 vs Honduras · 1946-03-13 · CCCF Championship
World Cups won40
Expected World Cups1.660.00

When they've met

Italy and Nicaragua have never played each other.