Head to head

Italy vs New Caledonia

If they played today

Italy at home

70% / 18% / 11%

Italy win / draw / New Caledonia win

Italy–New Caledonia

2–0 13.0%
1–0 12.0%
2–1 9.4%
3–0 9.4%
1–1 8.7%

Neutral venue

63% / 21% / 16%

Italy win / draw / New Caledonia win

Italy–New Caledonia

1–0 11.7%
2–0 11.5%
1–1 10.0%
2–1 9.8%
3–0 7.5%

New Caledonia at home

55% / 23% / 21%

Italy win / draw / New Caledonia win

Italy–New Caledonia

1–0 11.2%
1–1 11.1%
2–0 9.9%
2–1 9.8%
0–0 6.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Italy	New Caledonia
Current Elo	1922	1591
Elo rank	19th	85th
Peak Elo	2140 (2021)	1699 (2008)
Matches played	893	265
All-time record	477W 243D 173L	136W 34D 95L
Goals for	1565	698
Goals against	876	369
Biggest win	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly	18–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-01 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly	0–11 vs Australia · 2002-07-08 · Oceania Nations Cup
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	1.66	0.00

When they've met

Italy and New Caledonia have never played each other.