Head to head

Italy vs Nepal

If they played today

Italy at home

95% / 5% / 0%

Italy win / draw / Nepal win

Italy–Nepal

3–0 20.7%
2–0 19.8%
4–0 16.3%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 10.2%

Neutral venue

91% / 7% / 1%

Italy win / draw / Nepal win

Italy–Nepal

2–0 18.6%
3–0 18.2%
4–0 13.4%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 7.8%

Nepal at home

87% / 10% / 3%

Italy win / draw / Nepal win

Italy–Nepal

2–0 17.2%
3–0 15.7%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 10.8%
5–0 5.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Italy	Nepal
Current Elo	1922	1103
Elo rank	19th	193rd
Peak Elo	2140 (2021)	1495 (1972)
Matches played	893	268
All-time record	477W 243D 173L	63W 47D 158L
Goals for	1565	229
Goals against	876	602
Biggest win	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly	7–0 vs Bhutan · 1999-09-26 · South Asian Games
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly	0–16 vs South Korea · 2003-09-29 · AFC Asian Cup qualification
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	1.66	0.00

When they've met

Italy and Nepal have never played each other.