Head to head

Italy vs Morocco

If they played today

Italy at home

36% / 26% / 37%

Italy win / draw / Morocco win

Italy–Morocco

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.7%
1–0 9.5%
1–2 8.2%
2–1 8.1%

Neutral venue

29% / 25% / 45%

Italy win / draw / Morocco win

Italy–Morocco

1–1 12.1%
0–1 10.5%
1–2 9.2%
1–0 8.0%
0–2 7.9%

Morocco at home

23% / 24% / 54%

Italy win / draw / Morocco win

Italy–Morocco

1–1 11.4%
0–1 11.1%
1–2 9.7%
0–2 9.5%
1–0 6.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Italy	Morocco
Current Elo	1922	2029
Elo rank	19th	10th
Peak Elo	2140 (2021)	2055 (2026)
Matches played	893	623
All-time record	477W 243D 173L	309W 174D 140L
Goals for	1565	926
Goals against	876	500
Biggest win	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly	7–0 vs Lesotho · 2024-11-18 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly	0–5 vs Serbia · 1960-01-01 · Friendly
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	1.66	0.10

When they've met

Meetings

Italy 1W 0D 0L

Goals

1–0

Italy first

First meeting

1–0

Italy won · 2001-09-05 · Friendly

Most recent

1–0

Italy won · 2001-09-05 · Friendly

1 meeting

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2001-09-05	1–0	Italy home	Friendly