Head to head

Italy vs Montenegro

If they played today

Italy at home

75% / 16% / 9%

Italy win / draw / Montenegro win

Italy–Montenegro

2–0 14.1%
1–0 12.2%
3–0 10.8%
2–1 8.9%
1–1 7.7%

Neutral venue

68% / 19% / 12%

Italy win / draw / Montenegro win

Italy–Montenegro

2–0 12.6%
1–0 11.9%
2–1 9.6%
1–1 9.1%
3–0 8.8%

Montenegro at home

61% / 22% / 17%

Italy win / draw / Montenegro win

Italy–Montenegro

1–0 11.6%
2–0 11.0%
1–1 10.4%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Italy	Montenegro
Current Elo	1922	1521
Elo rank	19th	104th
Peak Elo	2140 (2021)	1688 (2013)
Matches played	893	170
All-time record	477W 243D 173L	58W 41D 71L
Goals for	1565	201
Goals against	876	233
Biggest win	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly	6–0 vs San Marino · 2012-09-11 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly	0–7 vs England · 2019-11-14 · UEFA Euro qualification
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	1.66	0.00
European Championships won	2	0
Expected European Championships	1.29	0.00

When they've met

Meetings

Italy 2W 0D 0L

Goals

4–1

Italy first

First meeting

2–1

Italy won · 2008-10-15 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most recent

2–0

Italy won · 2009-03-28 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Italy's biggest win

2–0

2009-03-28 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Montenegro's biggest win

—

Never beaten Italy

Current run

Won last 2

Italy · since 2008-10-15

2 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2009-03-28	2–0	Montenegro home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2008-10-15	2–1	Italy home	FIFA World Cup qualification