Head to head

Italy vs Mongolia

If they played today

Italy at home

96% / 4% / 0%

Italy win / draw / Mongolia win

Italy–Mongolia

3–0 20.8%
2–0 18.5%
4–0 17.6%
5–0 11.9%
1–0 10.9%

Neutral venue

95% / 5% / 0%

Italy win / draw / Mongolia win

Italy–Mongolia

3–0 21.2%
2–0 20.0%
4–0 16.9%
1–0 12.5%
5–0 10.7%

Mongolia at home

92% / 7% / 1%

Italy win / draw / Mongolia win

Italy–Mongolia

2–0 18.9%
3–0 18.8%
4–0 14.0%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 8.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Italy	Mongolia
Current Elo	1922	980
Elo rank	19th	207th
Peak Elo	2140 (2021)	1474 (1942)
Matches played	893	103
All-time record	477W 243D 173L	25W 9D 69L
Goals for	1565	117
Goals against	876	316
Biggest win	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly	9–0 vs Northern Mariana Islands · 2018-09-04 · EAFF Championship
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly	0–15 vs Uzbekistan · 1998-12-05 · Asian Games
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	1.66	0.00

When they've met

Italy and Mongolia have never played each other.