Head to head

Italy vs Moldova

If they played today

Italy at home
86% / 10% / 3%
Italy win / draw / Moldova win
Italy–Moldova
  • 2–0 17.0%
  • 3–0 15.4%
  • 1–0 12.6%
  • 4–0 10.4%
  • 2–1 6.2%
Neutral venue
81% / 13% / 5%
Italy win / draw / Moldova win
Italy–Moldova
  • 2–0 15.6%
  • 3–0 13.0%
  • 1–0 12.5%
  • 4–0 8.2%
  • 2–1 7.7%
Moldova at home
75% / 16% / 8%
Italy win / draw / Moldova win
Italy–Moldova
  • 2–0 14.1%
  • 1–0 12.2%
  • 3–0 10.9%
  • 2–1 8.9%
  • 1–1 7.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

 ItalyMoldova
Current Elo19221319
Elo rank19th165th
Peak Elo2140 (2021)1566 (1994)
Matches played893299
All-time record477W 243D 173L58W 70D 171L
Goals for1565243
Goals against876522
Biggest win10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly5–0 vs Pakistan · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament
Biggest loss1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly1–11 vs Norway · 2025-09-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
World Cups won40
Expected World Cups1.660.00
European Championships won20
Expected European Championships1.290.00

When they've met

Meetings
7
Italy 7W 0D 0L
Goals
19–2
Italy first
First meeting
3–1
Italy won · 1996-10-05 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Most recent
2–0
Italy won · 2025-11-13 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Italy's biggest win
6–0
2020-10-07 · Friendly
Moldova's biggest win
Never beaten Italy
Most common result
2–0
Italy first · twice, last 2025-11-13
Current run
Won last 7
Italy · since 1996-10-05
7 meetings
DateScoreVenueCompetition
2025-11-132–0Moldova homeFIFA World Cup qualification
2025-06-092–0Italy homeFIFA World Cup qualification
2020-10-076–0Italy homeFriendly
2005-10-122–1Italy homeFIFA World Cup qualification
2004-09-081–0Moldova homeFIFA World Cup qualification
1997-03-293–0Italy homeFIFA World Cup qualification
1996-10-053–1Moldova homeFIFA World Cup qualification