Head to head

Italy vs Mexico

If they played today

Italy at home

38% / 26% / 36%

Italy win / draw / Mexico win

Italy–Mexico

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.7%
0–1 9.5%
2–1 8.3%
1–2 8.1%

Neutral venue

30% / 26% / 44%

Italy win / draw / Mexico win

Italy–Mexico

1–1 12.2%
0–1 10.4%
1–2 9.0%
1–0 8.3%
0–2 7.7%

Mexico at home

24% / 24% / 52%

Italy win / draw / Mexico win

Italy–Mexico

1–1 11.5%
0–1 11.0%
1–2 9.7%
0–2 9.2%
1–0 6.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Italy	Mexico
Current Elo	1922	2012
Elo rank	19th	12th
Peak Elo	2140 (2021)	2044 (2026)
Matches played	893	1008
All-time record	477W 243D 173L	518W 231D 259L
Goals for	1565	1777
Goals against	876	1057
Biggest win	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	1.66	0.64

When they've met

Meetings

Italy 7W 4D 1L

Goals

28–10

Italy first

First meeting

5–0

Italy won · 1966-06-29 · Friendly

Most recent

2–1

Italy won · 2013-06-16 · Confederations Cup

Italy's biggest win

5–0

1984-02-04 · Friendly

Mexico's biggest win

2–1

2010-06-03 · Friendly

Most common result

1–1

Italy first · 4 times, last 2002-06-13

Current run

Won the last meeting

Italy · since 2013-06-16

12 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2013-06-16	2–1	Neutral	Confederations Cup
2010-06-03	1–2	Neutral	Friendly
2002-06-13	1–1	Neutral	FIFA World Cup
1994-06-28	1–1	Neutral	FIFA World Cup
1993-01-20	2–0	Italy home	Friendly
1985-06-02	1–1	Mexico home	Friendly
1984-02-04	5–0	Italy home	Friendly
1971-09-25	2–0	Italy home	Friendly
1970-06-14	4–1	Mexico home	FIFA World Cup
1969-01-05	1–1	Mexico home	Friendly
1969-01-01	3–2	Mexico home	Friendly
1966-06-29	5–0	Italy home	Friendly