Head to head

Italy vs Mali

If they played today

Italy at home

62% / 22% / 17%

Italy win / draw / Mali win

Italy–Mali

1–0 11.6%
2–0 11.2%
1–1 10.2%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.2%

Neutral venue

54% / 24% / 22%

Italy win / draw / Mali win

Italy–Mali

1–1 11.3%
1–0 11.1%
2–1 9.8%
2–0 9.6%
0–1 6.5%

Mali at home

46% / 25% / 29%

Italy win / draw / Mali win

Italy–Mali

1–1 12.1%
1–0 10.5%
2–1 9.2%
2–0 8.0%
0–1 7.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Italy	Mali
Current Elo	1922	1709
Elo rank	19th	60th
Peak Elo	2140 (2021)	1773 (2024)
Matches played	893	569
All-time record	477W 243D 173L	232W 151D 186L
Goals for	1565	746
Goals against	876	626
Biggest win	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly	6–0 vs Eswatini · 2024-11-19 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly	0–7 vs Algeria · 1988-11-13 · Friendly
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	1.66	0.00

When they've met

Italy and Mali have never played each other.