Head to head

Italy vs Malawi

If they played today

Italy at home

80% / 14% / 6%

Italy win / draw / Malawi win

Italy–Malawi

2–0 15.3%
3–0 12.6%
1–0 12.4%
2–1 8.0%
4–0 7.8%

Neutral venue

74% / 17% / 9%

Italy win / draw / Malawi win

Italy–Malawi

2–0 13.8%
1–0 12.2%
3–0 10.5%
2–1 9.1%
1–1 8.0%

Malawi at home

67% / 20% / 13%

Italy win / draw / Malawi win

Italy–Malawi

2–0 12.3%
1–0 11.9%
2–1 9.7%
1–1 9.4%
3–0 8.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Italy	Malawi
Current Elo	1922	1438
Elo rank	19th	137th
Peak Elo	2140 (2021)	1669 (1985)
Matches played	893	644
All-time record	477W 243D 173L	219W 182D 243L
Goals for	1565	753
Goals against	876	832
Biggest win	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly	8–1 vs Djibouti · 2008-05-31 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly	0–12 vs Ghana · 1962-10-15 · Friendly
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	1.66	0.00

When they've met

Italy and Malawi have never played each other.