Head to head

Italy vs Madagascar

If they played today

Italy at home

76% / 16% / 8%

Italy win / draw / Madagascar win

Italy–Madagascar

2–0 14.2%
1–0 12.3%
3–0 11.0%
2–1 8.8%
1–1 7.6%

Neutral venue

69% / 19% / 12%

Italy win / draw / Madagascar win

Italy–Madagascar

2–0 12.7%
1–0 12.0%
2–1 9.6%
1–1 9.0%
3–0 9.0%

Madagascar at home

62% / 22% / 17%

Italy win / draw / Madagascar win

Italy–Madagascar

1–0 11.6%
2–0 11.1%
1–1 10.3%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Italy	Madagascar
Current Elo	1922	1511
Elo rank	19th	108th
Peak Elo	2140 (2021)	1645 (1993)
Matches played	893	320
All-time record	477W 243D 173L	118W 73D 129L
Goals for	1565	434
Goals against	876	484
Biggest win	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly	8–1 vs Congo · 1960-04-18 · African Friendship Games
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly	0–7 vs DR Congo · 1965-07-19 · All-African Games
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	1.66	0.00

When they've met

Italy and Madagascar have never played each other.