Head to head

Italy vs Luxembourg

If they played today

Italy at home

78% / 15% / 7%

Italy win / draw / Luxembourg win

Italy–Luxembourg

2–0 14.9%
1–0 12.4%
3–0 11.9%
2–1 8.4%
4–0 7.2%

Neutral venue

72% / 18% / 10%

Italy win / draw / Luxembourg win

Italy–Luxembourg

2–0 13.3%
1–0 12.1%
3–0 9.8%
2–1 9.3%
1–1 8.4%

Luxembourg at home

65% / 21% / 15%

Italy win / draw / Luxembourg win

Italy–Luxembourg

2–0 11.8%
1–0 11.8%
2–1 9.8%
1–1 9.8%
3–0 7.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Italy	Luxembourg
Current Elo	1922	1470
Elo rank	19th	124th
Peak Elo	2140 (2021)	1567 (2023)
Matches played	893	467
All-time record	477W 243D 173L	50W 63D 354L
Goals for	1565	296
Goals against	876	1204
Biggest win	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly	4–0 vs Moldova · 2018-09-08 · UEFA Nations League
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly	0–9 vs Portugal · 2023-09-11 · UEFA Euro qualification
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	1.66	0.00
European Championships won	2	0
Expected European Championships	1.29	0.00

When they've met

Meetings

Italy 9W 1D 0L

Goals

26–2

Italy first

First meeting

2–0

Italy won · 1924-05-29 · Olympic Games

Most recent

1–0

Italy won · 2026-06-03 · Friendly

Italy's biggest win

5–0

1973-03-31 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Luxembourg's biggest win

—

Never beaten Italy

Most common result

1–0

Italy first · twice, last 2026-06-03

Current run

Unbeaten in 10

Italy · since 1924-05-29

10 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2026-06-03	1–0	Luxembourg home	Friendly
2014-06-04	1–1	Italy home	Friendly
1988-04-27	3–0	Luxembourg home	Friendly
1981-12-05	1–0	Italy home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1980-10-11	2–0	Luxembourg home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1977-12-03	3–0	Italy home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1976-10-16	4–1	Luxembourg home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1973-03-31	5–0	Italy home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1972-10-07	4–0	Luxembourg home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1924-05-29	2–0	Neutral	Olympic Games