Head to head

Italy vs Lithuania

If they played today

Italy at home

85% / 11% / 4%

Italy win / draw / Lithuania win

Italy–Lithuania

2–0 16.5%
3–0 14.5%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 9.6%
2–1 6.8%

Neutral venue

79% / 14% / 6%

Italy win / draw / Lithuania win

Italy–Lithuania

2–0 15.1%
1–0 12.4%
3–0 12.3%
2–1 8.2%
4–0 7.5%

Lithuania at home

73% / 17% / 10%

Italy win / draw / Lithuania win

Italy–Lithuania

2–0 13.6%
1–0 12.2%
3–0 10.2%
2–1 9.2%
1–1 8.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Italy	Lithuania
Current Elo	1922	1353
Elo rank	19th	157th
Peak Elo	2140 (2021)	1682 (2008)
Matches played	893	433
All-time record	477W 243D 173L	111W 84D 238L
Goals for	1565	431
Goals against	876	786
Biggest win	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly	7–0 vs Estonia · 1995-05-20 · Baltic Cup
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly	0–10 vs Egypt · 1924-05-27 · Friendly
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	1.66	0.00
European Championships won	2	0
Expected European Championships	1.29	0.00

When they've met

Meetings

Italy 6W 2D 0L

Goals

19–1

Italy first

First meeting

1–0

Italy won · 1995-04-26 · UEFA Euro qualification

Most recent

5–0

Italy won · 2021-09-08 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Italy's biggest win

5–0

2021-09-08 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Lithuania's biggest win

—

Never beaten Italy

Most common result

2–0

Italy first · twice, last 2021-03-31

Current run

Unbeaten in 8

Italy · since 1995-04-26

8 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2021-09-08	5–0	Italy home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2021-03-31	2–0	Lithuania home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2007-06-06	2–0	Lithuania home	UEFA Euro qualification
2006-09-02	1–1	Italy home	UEFA Euro qualification
2001-09-01	0–0	Lithuania home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2001-03-28	4–0	Italy home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1995-11-15	4–0	Italy home	UEFA Euro qualification
1995-04-26	1–0	Lithuania home	UEFA Euro qualification