Head to head

Italy vs Liberia

If they played today

Italy at home

80% / 14% / 6%

Italy win / draw / Liberia win

Italy–Liberia

2–0 15.3%
3–0 12.6%
1–0 12.4%
2–1 8.0%
4–0 7.8%

Neutral venue

74% / 17% / 9%

Italy win / draw / Liberia win

Italy–Liberia

2–0 13.8%
1–0 12.2%
3–0 10.5%
2–1 9.1%
1–1 8.0%

Liberia at home

67% / 20% / 13%

Italy win / draw / Liberia win

Italy–Liberia

2–0 12.3%
1–0 11.9%
2–1 9.7%
1–1 9.4%
3–0 8.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Italy	Liberia
Current Elo	1922	1438
Elo rank	19th	138th
Peak Elo	2140 (2021)	1629 (2001)
Matches played	893	302
All-time record	477W 243D 173L	79W 70D 153L
Goals for	1565	270
Goals against	876	445
Biggest win	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly	5–0 vs Djibouti · 2016-03-29 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly	2–7 vs Tunisia · 2001-12-30 · Friendly
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	1.66	0.00

When they've met

Italy and Liberia have never played each other.