Head to head

Italy vs Lesotho

If they played today

Italy at home

81% / 13% / 5%

Italy win / draw / Lesotho win

Italy–Lesotho

2–0 15.6%
3–0 13.0%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 8.2%
2–1 7.7%

Neutral venue

75% / 16% / 8%

Italy win / draw / Lesotho win

Italy–Lesotho

2–0 14.1%
1–0 12.2%
3–0 10.9%
2–1 8.9%
1–1 7.7%

Lesotho at home

68% / 19% / 12%

Italy win / draw / Lesotho win

Italy–Lesotho

2–0 12.6%
1–0 12.0%
2–1 9.6%
1–1 9.1%
3–0 8.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Italy	Lesotho
Current Elo	1922	1419
Elo rank	19th	143rd
Peak Elo	2140 (2021)	1509 (1970)
Matches played	893	296
All-time record	477W 243D 173L	54W 94D 148L
Goals for	1565	230
Goals against	876	466
Biggest win	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly	5–0 vs Eswatini · 2006-04-14 · Friendly
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly	0–7 vs Morocco · 2024-11-18 · African Cup of Nations qualification
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	1.66	0.00

When they've met

Italy and Lesotho have never played each other.