Head to head

Italy vs Lebanon

If they played today

Italy at home

80% / 14% / 6%

Italy win / draw / Lebanon win

Italy–Lebanon

2–0 15.3%
3–0 12.5%
1–0 12.4%
2–1 8.0%
4–0 7.7%

Neutral venue

74% / 17% / 9%

Italy win / draw / Lebanon win

Italy–Lebanon

2–0 13.8%
1–0 12.2%
3–0 10.4%
2–1 9.1%
1–1 8.0%

Lebanon at home

67% / 20% / 13%

Italy win / draw / Lebanon win

Italy–Lebanon

2–0 12.2%
1–0 11.9%
2–1 9.7%
1–1 9.4%
3–0 8.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Italy	Lebanon
Current Elo	1922	1442
Elo rank	19th	134th
Peak Elo	2140 (2021)	1596 (2018)
Matches played	893	333
All-time record	477W 243D 173L	93W 92D 148L
Goals for	1565	385
Goals against	876	469
Biggest win	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly	8–1 vs Pakistan · 2001-05-26 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly	1–7 vs Mexico · 1978-09-10 · Korea Cup
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	1.66	0.00

When they've met

Italy and Lebanon have never played each other.