Head to head

Italy vs Latvia

If they played today

Italy at home

85% / 11% / 4%

Italy win / draw / Latvia win

Italy–Latvia

2–0 16.7%
3–0 14.7%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 9.8%
2–1 6.6%

Neutral venue

80% / 14% / 6%

Italy win / draw / Latvia win

Italy–Latvia

2–0 15.2%
3–0 12.5%
1–0 12.4%
2–1 8.1%
4–0 7.6%

Latvia at home

74% / 17% / 9%

Italy win / draw / Latvia win

Italy–Latvia

2–0 13.7%
1–0 12.2%
3–0 10.3%
2–1 9.1%
1–1 8.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Italy	Latvia
Current Elo	1922	1345
Elo rank	19th	160th
Peak Elo	2140 (2021)	1594 (2009)
Matches played	893	461
All-time record	477W 243D 173L	128W 111D 222L
Goals for	1565	541
Goals against	876	764
Biggest win	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly	8–1 vs Estonia · 1942-08-18 · Friendly
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly	0–12 vs Sweden · 1927-05-29 · Friendly
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	1.66	0.00
European Championships won	2	0
Expected European Championships	1.29	<0.01

When they've met

Italy and Latvia have never played each other.