Head to head

Italy vs Japan

If they played today

Italy at home

41% / 26% / 33%

Italy win / draw / Japan win

Italy–Japan

1–1 12.4%
1–0 10.0%
0–1 8.9%
2–1 8.7%
1–2 7.7%

Neutral venue

33% / 26% / 41%

Italy win / draw / Japan win

Italy–Japan

1–1 12.4%
0–1 10.1%
1–0 8.8%
1–2 8.7%
2–1 7.6%

Japan at home

26% / 25% / 49%

Italy win / draw / Japan win

Italy–Japan

1–1 11.8%
0–1 10.8%
1–2 9.5%
0–2 8.6%
1–0 7.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Italy	Japan
Current Elo	1922	1973
Elo rank	19th	15th
Peak Elo	2140 (2021)	2012 (2026)
Matches played	893	794
All-time record	477W 243D 173L	391W 167D 236L
Goals for	1565	1451
Goals against	876	915
Biggest win	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly	14–0 vs Mongolia · 2021-03-30 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly	2–15 vs Philippines · 1917-05-10 · Far Eastern Championship Games
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	1.66	0.16

When they've met

Meetings

Italy 1W 1D 0L

Goals

5–4

Italy first

First meeting

1–1

Drawn · 2001-11-07 · Friendly

Most recent

4–3

Italy won · 2013-06-19 · Confederations Cup

Italy's biggest win

4–3

2013-06-19 · Confederations Cup

Japan's biggest win

—

Never beaten Italy

Current run

Unbeaten in 2

Italy · since 2001-11-07

2 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2013-06-19	4–3	Neutral	Confederations Cup
2001-11-07	1–1	Japan home	Friendly