Head to head

Italy vs Jamaica

If they played today

Italy at home

66% / 20% / 14%

Italy win / draw / Jamaica win

Italy–Jamaica

2–0 12.1%
1–0 11.8%
2–1 9.7%
1–1 9.6%
3–0 8.2%

Neutral venue

58% / 23% / 19%

Italy win / draw / Jamaica win

Italy–Jamaica

1–0 11.4%
1–1 10.7%
2–0 10.5%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.4%

Jamaica at home

50% / 25% / 25%

Italy win / draw / Jamaica win

Italy–Jamaica

1–1 11.7%
1–0 10.9%
2–1 9.6%
2–0 8.9%
0–1 7.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Italy	Jamaica
Current Elo	1922	1653
Elo rank	19th	77th
Peak Elo	2140 (2021)	1799 (2011)
Matches played	893	663
All-time record	477W 243D 173L	258W 154D 251L
Goals for	1565	882
Goals against	876	874
Biggest win	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly	12–0 vs Saint Martin · 2004-11-24 · CFU Caribbean Cup qualification
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly	0–9 vs Costa Rica · 1999-02-24 · Friendly
World Cups won	4	0
Expected World Cups	1.66	<0.01

When they've met

Italy and Jamaica have never played each other.