Head to head

Iraq vs Tonga

If they played today

Iraq at home

87% / 10% / 3%

Iraq win / draw / Tonga win

Iraq–Tonga

2–0 17.2%
3–0 15.7%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 10.7%
2–1 5.9%

Neutral venue

82% / 13% / 5%

Iraq win / draw / Tonga win

Iraq–Tonga

2–0 15.8%
3–0 13.3%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 8.5%
2–1 7.5%

Tonga at home

76% / 16% / 8%

Iraq win / draw / Tonga win

Iraq–Tonga

2–0 14.3%
1–0 12.3%
3–0 11.2%
2–1 8.8%
1–1 7.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Iraq	Tonga
Current Elo	1673	1056
Elo rank	72nd	198th
Peak Elo	1844 (1984)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	658	68
All-time record	304W 188D 166L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	1006	81
Goals against	621	253
Biggest win	13–0 vs Ethiopia · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–6 vs Chile · 2013-08-14 · Friendly	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.02	0.00

When they've met

Iraq and Tonga have never played each other.