Head to head

Iraq vs Samoa

If they played today

Iraq at home

79% / 15% / 7%

Iraq win / draw / Samoa win

Iraq–Samoa

2–0 14.9%
1–0 12.4%
3–0 12.0%
2–1 8.3%
4–0 7.2%

Neutral venue

72% / 18% / 10%

Iraq win / draw / Samoa win

Iraq–Samoa

2–0 13.4%
1–0 12.1%
3–0 9.9%
2–1 9.3%
1–1 8.4%

Samoa at home

65% / 20% / 14%

Iraq win / draw / Samoa win

Iraq–Samoa

2–0 11.9%
1–0 11.8%
2–1 9.8%
1–1 9.7%
3–0 8.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Iraq	Samoa
Current Elo	1673	1216
Elo rank	72nd	179th
Peak Elo	1844 (1984)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	658	71
All-time record	304W 188D 166L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	1006	99
Goals against	621	249
Biggest win	13–0 vs Ethiopia · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–6 vs Chile · 2013-08-14 · Friendly	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.02	0.00

When they've met

Iraq and Samoa have never played each other.