Head to head

Iraq vs Mexico

If they played today

Iraq at home

21% / 23% / 56%

Iraq win / draw / Mexico win

Iraq–Mexico

0–1 11.3%
1–1 11.1%
0–2 10.0%
1–2 9.8%
0–0 6.3%

Neutral venue

15% / 21% / 64%

Iraq win / draw / Mexico win

Iraq–Mexico

0–1 11.7%
0–2 11.6%
1–1 9.9%
1–2 9.8%
0–3 7.6%

Mexico at home

11% / 18% / 71%

Iraq win / draw / Mexico win

Iraq–Mexico

0–2 13.1%
0–1 12.1%
0–3 9.5%
1–2 9.4%
1–1 8.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Iraq	Mexico
Current Elo	1673	2012
Elo rank	72nd	12th
Peak Elo	1844 (1984)	2044 (2026)
Matches played	658	1008
All-time record	304W 188D 166L	518W 231D 259L
Goals for	1006	1777
Goals against	621	1057
Biggest win	13–0 vs Ethiopia · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–6 vs Chile · 2013-08-14 · Friendly	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.02	0.64

When they've met

Meetings

Iraq 0W 0D 2L

Goals

0–5

Iraq first

First meeting

0–1

Mexico won · 1986-06-11 · FIFA World Cup

Most recent

0–4

Mexico won · 2022-11-09 · Friendly

Iraq's biggest win

—

Never beaten Mexico

Mexico's biggest win

4–0

2022-11-09 · Friendly

Current run

Won last 2

Mexico · since 1986-06-11

2 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2022-11-09	0–4	Neutral	Friendly
1986-06-11	0–1	Mexico home	FIFA World Cup