Head to head

Iran vs Samoa

If they played today

Iran at home

90% / 9% / 2%

Iran win / draw / Samoa win

Iran–Samoa

2–0 18.0%
3–0 17.0%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 12.1%
5–0 6.9%

Neutral venue

85% / 11% / 4%

Iran win / draw / Samoa win

Iran–Samoa

2–0 16.6%
3–0 14.6%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 9.7%
2–1 6.7%

Samoa at home

80% / 14% / 6%

Iran win / draw / Samoa win

Iran–Samoa

2–0 15.2%
1–0 12.4%
3–0 12.4%
2–1 8.1%
4–0 7.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Iran	Samoa
Current Elo	1889	1216
Elo rank	25th	179th
Peak Elo	1945 (2022)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	615	71
All-time record	349W 147D 119L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	1158	99
Goals against	486	249
Biggest win	19–0 vs Guam · 2000-11-24 · FIFA World Cup qualification	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	1–6 vs Turkey · 1950-05-28 · Friendly	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.13	0.00

When they've met

Iran and Samoa have never played each other.