Head to head

Indonesia vs Samoa

If they played today

Indonesia at home

65% / 21% / 15%

Indonesia win / draw / Samoa win

Indonesia–Samoa

2–0 11.8%
1–0 11.8%
2–1 9.8%
1–1 9.8%
3–0 7.9%

Neutral venue

57% / 23% / 20%

Indonesia win / draw / Samoa win

Indonesia–Samoa

1–0 11.3%
1–1 10.9%
2–0 10.2%
2–1 9.9%
0–0 6.3%

Samoa at home

49% / 25% / 26%

Indonesia win / draw / Samoa win

Indonesia–Samoa

1–1 11.8%
1–0 10.8%
2–1 9.5%
2–0 8.6%
0–1 7.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Indonesia	Samoa
Current Elo	1469	1216
Elo rank	125th	179th
Peak Elo	1687 (1961)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	732	71
All-time record	284W 144D 304L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	1222	99
Goals against	1181	249
Biggest win	13–1 vs Philippines · 2002-12-23 · AFF Championship	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–10 vs Bahrain · 2012-02-29 · FIFA World Cup qualification	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.02	0.00

When they've met

Indonesia and Samoa have never played each other.