Head to head

Iceland vs Wales

If they played today

Iceland at home

37% / 26% / 37%

Iceland win / draw / Wales win

Iceland–Wales

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.7%
1–0 9.6%
1–2 8.2%
2–1 8.1%

Neutral venue

29% / 26% / 45%

Iceland win / draw / Wales win

Iceland–Wales

1–1 12.1%
0–1 10.5%
1–2 9.2%
1–0 8.0%
0–2 7.9%

Wales at home

23% / 24% / 53%

Iceland win / draw / Wales win

Iceland–Wales

1–1 11.4%
0–1 11.1%
1–2 9.7%
0–2 9.5%
1–0 6.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Iceland	Wales
Current Elo	1639	1743
Elo rank	81st	52nd
Peak Elo	1885 (2017)	1904 (2021)
Matches played	522	726
All-time record	159W 102D 261L	234W 165D 327L
Goals for	632	910
Goals against	876	1160
Biggest win	9–0 vs Faroe Islands · 1985-07-10 · Friendly	11–0 vs Northern Ireland · 1888-03-03 · British Home Championship
Biggest loss	2–14 vs Denmark · 1967-08-23 · Friendly	0–9 vs Scotland · 1878-03-23 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	<0.01	0.02
European Championships won	0	0
Expected European Championships	<0.01	0.02

When they've met

Meetings

Iceland 1W 2D 6L

Goals

8–19

Iceland first

First meeting

0–4

Wales won · 1980-06-02 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most recent

1–4

Wales won · 2024-11-19 · UEFA Nations League

Iceland's biggest win

1–0

1984-09-12 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Wales' biggest win

4–0

1980-06-02 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most common result

2–2

Iceland first · twice, last 2024-10-11

Current run

Unbeaten in 6

Wales · since 1984-11-14

9 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2024-11-19	1–4	Wales home	UEFA Nations League
2024-10-11	2–2	Iceland home	UEFA Nations League
2014-03-05	1–3	Wales home	Friendly
2008-05-28	0–1	Iceland home	Friendly
1991-05-01	0–1	Wales home	Friendly
1984-11-14	1–2	Wales home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1984-09-12	1–0	Iceland home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1981-10-14	2–2	Wales home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1980-06-02	0–4	Iceland home	FIFA World Cup qualification