Head to head

Iceland vs Vanuatu

If they played today

Iceland at home

62% / 22% / 17%

Iceland win / draw / Vanuatu win

Iceland–Vanuatu

1–0 11.6%
2–0 11.1%
1–1 10.3%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.1%

Neutral venue

54% / 24% / 22%

Iceland win / draw / Vanuatu win

Iceland–Vanuatu

1–1 11.3%
1–0 11.1%
2–1 9.7%
2–0 9.5%
0–1 6.6%

Vanuatu at home

46% / 25% / 29%

Iceland win / draw / Vanuatu win

Iceland–Vanuatu

1–1 12.1%
1–0 10.5%
2–1 9.2%
0–1 8.0%
2–0 8.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Iceland	Vanuatu
Current Elo	1639	1430
Elo rank	81st	140th
Peak Elo	1885 (2017)	1609 (2004)
Matches played	522	214
All-time record	159W 102D 261L	69W 29D 116L
Goals for	632	403
Goals against	876	460
Biggest win	9–0 vs Faroe Islands · 1985-07-10 · Friendly	18–0 vs Kiribati · 2003-07-07 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	2–14 vs Denmark · 1967-08-23 · Friendly	0–9 vs New Zealand · 1951-10-04 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	<0.01	0.00

When they've met

Iceland and Vanuatu have never played each other.