Head to head

Iceland vs Uzbekistan

If they played today

Iceland at home

37% / 26% / 36%

Iceland win / draw / Uzbekistan win

Iceland–Uzbekistan

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.7%
0–1 9.5%
2–1 8.2%
1–2 8.1%

Neutral venue

30% / 26% / 44%

Iceland win / draw / Uzbekistan win

Iceland–Uzbekistan

1–1 12.2%
0–1 10.4%
1–2 9.1%
1–0 8.2%
0–2 7.7%

Uzbekistan at home

23% / 24% / 52%

Iceland win / draw / Uzbekistan win

Iceland–Uzbekistan

1–1 11.5%
0–1 11.0%
1–2 9.7%
0–2 9.3%
1–0 6.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Iceland	Uzbekistan
Current Elo	1639	1731
Elo rank	81st	56th
Peak Elo	1885 (2017)	1844 (2025)
Matches played	522	357
All-time record	159W 102D 261L	169W 73D 115L
Goals for	632	615
Goals against	876	405
Biggest win	9–0 vs Faroe Islands · 1985-07-10 · Friendly	15–0 vs Mongolia · 1998-12-05 · Asian Games
Biggest loss	2–14 vs Denmark · 1967-08-23 · Friendly	1–8 vs Japan · 2000-10-17 · AFC Asian Cup
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	<0.01	<0.01

When they've met

Iceland and Uzbekistan have never played each other.