Head to head

Iceland vs Uruguay

If they played today

Iceland at home

24% / 24% / 52%

Iceland win / draw / Uruguay win

Iceland–Uruguay

1–1 11.5%
0–1 11.0%
1–2 9.6%
0–2 9.2%
1–0 6.9%

Neutral venue

18% / 22% / 60%

Iceland win / draw / Uruguay win

Iceland–Uruguay

0–1 11.5%
0–2 10.8%
1–1 10.6%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 6.7%

Uruguay at home

13% / 20% / 67%

Iceland win / draw / Uruguay win

Iceland–Uruguay

0–2 12.3%
0–1 11.9%
1–2 9.7%
1–1 9.3%
0–3 8.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Iceland	Uruguay
Current Elo	1639	1925
Elo rank	81st	18th
Peak Elo	1885 (2017)	2104 (2024)
Matches played	522	973
All-time record	159W 102D 261L	428W 242D 303L
Goals for	632	1537
Goals against	876	1182
Biggest win	9–0 vs Faroe Islands · 1985-07-10 · Friendly	9–0 vs Bolivia · 1927-11-06 · Copa América
Biggest loss	2–14 vs Denmark · 1967-08-23 · Friendly	0–6 vs Argentina · 1902-07-20 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	2
Expected World Cups	<0.01	0.84

When they've met

Iceland and Uruguay have never played each other.