Head to head

Iceland vs Tonga

If they played today

Iceland at home

85% / 11% / 4%

Iceland win / draw / Tonga win

Iceland–Tonga

2–0 16.7%
3–0 14.9%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 9.9%
2–1 6.5%

Neutral venue

80% / 14% / 6%

Iceland win / draw / Tonga win

Iceland–Tonga

2–0 15.3%
3–0 12.6%
1–0 12.4%
2–1 8.0%
4–0 7.8%

Tonga at home

74% / 17% / 9%

Iceland win / draw / Tonga win

Iceland–Tonga

2–0 13.8%
1–0 12.2%
3–0 10.4%
2–1 9.1%
1–1 8.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Iceland	Tonga
Current Elo	1639	1056
Elo rank	81st	198th
Peak Elo	1885 (2017)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	522	68
All-time record	159W 102D 261L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	632	81
Goals against	876	253
Biggest win	9–0 vs Faroe Islands · 1985-07-10 · Friendly	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	2–14 vs Denmark · 1967-08-23 · Friendly	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	<0.01	0.00

When they've met

Iceland and Tonga have never played each other.