Head to head

Iceland vs Sweden

If they played today

Iceland at home

32% / 26% / 41%

Iceland win / draw / Sweden win

Iceland–Sweden

1–1 12.4%
0–1 10.1%
1–2 8.8%
1–0 8.7%
2–1 7.6%

Neutral venue

26% / 25% / 50%

Iceland win / draw / Sweden win

Iceland–Sweden

1–1 11.8%
0–1 10.8%
1–2 9.5%
0–2 8.7%
1–0 7.3%

Sweden at home

20% / 23% / 58%

Iceland win / draw / Sweden win

Iceland–Sweden

0–1 11.4%
1–1 10.9%
0–2 10.3%
1–2 9.9%
0–0 6.3%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Iceland	Sweden
Current Elo	1639	1797
Elo rank	81st	41st
Peak Elo	1885 (2017)	1955 (2018)
Matches played	522	1105
All-time record	159W 102D 261L	542W 234D 329L
Goals for	632	2178
Goals against	876	1431
Biggest win	9–0 vs Faroe Islands · 1985-07-10 · Friendly	12–0 vs Latvia · 1927-05-29 · Friendly
Biggest loss	2–14 vs Denmark · 1967-08-23 · Friendly	0–10 vs Denmark · 1913-10-05 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	<0.01	0.52
European Championships won	0	0
Expected European Championships	<0.01	0.31

When they've met

Meetings

Iceland 2W 3D 12L

Goals

18–39

Iceland first

First meeting

4–3

Iceland won · 1951-06-29 · Friendly

Most recent

1–2

Sweden won · 2023-01-12 · Friendly

Iceland's biggest win

4–3

1951-06-29 · Friendly

Sweden's biggest win

5–0

2007-06-06 · UEFA Euro qualification

Most common result

0–1

Iceland first · 3 times, last 1994-09-07

Current run

Unbeaten in 8

Sweden · since 2004-10-13

17 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2023-01-12	1–2	Neutral	Friendly
2019-01-11	2–2	Neutral	Friendly
2014-01-21	0–2	Neutral	Friendly
2012-05-30	2–3	Sweden home	Friendly
2007-06-06	0–5	Sweden home	UEFA Euro qualification
2006-10-11	1–2	Iceland home	UEFA Euro qualification
2005-10-12	1–3	Sweden home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2004-10-13	1–4	Iceland home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2000-08-16	2–1	Iceland home	Nordic Championship
1995-06-01	1–1	Sweden home	UEFA Euro qualification
1994-09-07	0–1	Iceland home	UEFA Euro qualification
1983-08-17	0–4	Iceland home	Friendly
1980-07-17	1–1	Sweden home	Friendly
1977-07-20	0–1	Iceland home	Friendly
1973-07-11	0–1	Sweden home	Friendly
1954-08-24	2–3	Sweden home	Friendly
1951-06-29	4–3	Iceland home	Friendly