Head to head

Iceland vs Somalia

If they played today

Iceland at home

85% / 11% / 4%

Iceland win / draw / Somalia win

Iceland–Somalia

2–0 16.7%
3–0 14.8%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 9.8%
2–1 6.6%

Neutral venue

80% / 14% / 6%

Iceland win / draw / Somalia win

Iceland–Somalia

2–0 15.2%
3–0 12.5%
1–0 12.4%
2–1 8.1%
4–0 7.7%

Somalia at home

74% / 17% / 9%

Iceland win / draw / Somalia win

Iceland–Somalia

2–0 13.7%
1–0 12.2%
3–0 10.3%
2–1 9.1%
1–1 8.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Iceland	Somalia
Current Elo	1639	1061
Elo rank	81st	196th
Peak Elo	1885 (2017)	1475 (1963)
Matches played	522	124
All-time record	159W 102D 261L	11W 15D 98L
Goals for	632	62
Goals against	876	330
Biggest win	9–0 vs Faroe Islands · 1985-07-10 · Friendly	3–2 vs Djibouti · 2008-12-23 · Friendly
Biggest loss	2–14 vs Denmark · 1967-08-23 · Friendly	0–14 vs North Korea · 1963-11-11 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	<0.01	0.00

When they've met

Iceland and Somalia have never played each other.