Head to head

Iceland vs Senegal

If they played today

Iceland at home

27% / 25% / 48%

Iceland win / draw / Senegal win

Iceland–Senegal

1–1 11.9%
0–1 10.7%
1–2 9.4%
0–2 8.5%
1–0 7.5%

Neutral venue

20% / 23% / 56%

Iceland win / draw / Senegal win

Iceland–Senegal

0–1 11.3%
1–1 11.0%
0–2 10.1%
1–2 9.8%
0–0 6.3%

Senegal at home

15% / 21% / 64%

Iceland win / draw / Senegal win

Iceland–Senegal

0–1 11.7%
0–2 11.6%
1–1 9.9%
1–2 9.8%
0–3 7.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Iceland	Senegal
Current Elo	1639	1881
Elo rank	81st	27th
Peak Elo	1885 (2017)	1953 (2026)
Matches played	522	642
All-time record	159W 102D 261L	299W 169D 174L
Goals for	632	892
Goals against	876	608
Biggest win	9–0 vs Faroe Islands · 1985-07-10 · Friendly	8–0 vs Kenya · 2025-11-18 · Friendly
Biggest loss	2–14 vs Denmark · 1967-08-23 · Friendly	0–5 vs Guinea · 1966-03-06 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	<0.01	0.04

When they've met

Iceland and Senegal have never played each other.