Head to head

Iceland vs Scotland

If they played today

Iceland at home

31% / 26% / 43%

Iceland win / draw / Scotland win

Iceland–Scotland

1–1 12.3%
0–1 10.3%
1–2 8.9%
1–0 8.5%
0–2 7.4%

Neutral venue

24% / 24% / 51%

Iceland win / draw / Scotland win

Iceland–Scotland

1–1 11.6%
0–1 10.9%
1–2 9.6%
0–2 9.0%
1–0 7.0%

Scotland at home

19% / 22% / 59%

Iceland win / draw / Scotland win

Iceland–Scotland

0–1 11.4%
1–1 10.7%
0–2 10.6%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 6.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Iceland	Scotland
Current Elo	1639	1815
Elo rank	81st	37th
Peak Elo	1885 (2017)	1875 (2023)
Matches played	522	854
All-time record	159W 102D 261L	403W 182D 269L
Goals for	632	1455
Goals against	876	1054
Biggest win	9–0 vs Faroe Islands · 1985-07-10 · Friendly	11–0 vs Northern Ireland · 1901-02-23 · British Home Championship
Biggest loss	2–14 vs Denmark · 1967-08-23 · Friendly	0–7 vs Uruguay · 1954-06-19 · FIFA World Cup
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	<0.01	0.21
European Championships won	0	0
Expected European Championships	<0.01	0.07

When they've met

Meetings

Iceland 1W 0D 6L

Goals

6–13

Iceland first

First meeting

0–3

Scotland won · 1984-10-17 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most recent

3–1

Iceland won · 2025-06-06 · Friendly

Iceland's biggest win

3–1

2025-06-06 · Friendly

Scotland's biggest win

3–0

1984-10-17 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most common result

1–2

Iceland first · 3 times, last 2009-04-01

Current run

Won the last meeting

Iceland · since 2025-06-06

7 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2025-06-06	3–1	Scotland home	Friendly
2009-04-01	1–2	Scotland home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2008-09-10	1–2	Iceland home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2003-03-29	1–2	Scotland home	UEFA Euro qualification
2002-10-12	0–2	Iceland home	UEFA Euro qualification
1985-05-28	0–1	Iceland home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1984-10-17	0–3	Scotland home	FIFA World Cup qualification