Head to head

Iceland vs Samoa

If they played today

Iceland at home

76% / 16% / 8%

Iceland win / draw / Samoa win

Iceland–Samoa

2–0 14.4%
1–0 12.3%
3–0 11.3%
2–1 8.7%
1–1 7.4%

Neutral venue

70% / 19% / 12%

Iceland win / draw / Samoa win

Iceland–Samoa

2–0 12.9%
1–0 12.0%
2–1 9.5%
3–0 9.2%
1–1 8.8%

Samoa at home

63% / 21% / 16%

Iceland win / draw / Samoa win

Iceland–Samoa

1–0 11.7%
2–0 11.3%
1–1 10.1%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Iceland	Samoa
Current Elo	1639	1216
Elo rank	81st	179th
Peak Elo	1885 (2017)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	522	71
All-time record	159W 102D 261L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	632	99
Goals against	876	249
Biggest win	9–0 vs Faroe Islands · 1985-07-10 · Friendly	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	2–14 vs Denmark · 1967-08-23 · Friendly	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	<0.01	0.00

When they've met

Iceland and Samoa have never played each other.