Head to head

Iceland vs Portugal

If they played today

Iceland at home

17% / 22% / 62%

Iceland win / draw / Portugal win

Iceland–Portugal

0–1 11.6%
0–2 11.2%
1–1 10.3%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 7.2%

Neutral venue

12% / 19% / 69%

Iceland win / draw / Portugal win

Iceland–Portugal

0–2 12.7%
0–1 12.0%
1–2 9.6%
0–3 9.0%
1–1 9.0%

Portugal at home

8% / 16% / 76%

Iceland win / draw / Portugal win

Iceland–Portugal

0–2 14.3%
0–1 12.3%
0–3 11.0%
1–2 8.8%
1–1 7.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Iceland	Portugal
Current Elo	1639	2051
Elo rank	81st	7th
Peak Elo	1885 (2017)	2095 (2022)
Matches played	522	700
All-time record	159W 102D 261L	351W 161D 188L
Goals for	632	1235
Goals against	876	781
Biggest win	9–0 vs Faroe Islands · 1985-07-10 · Friendly	9–0 vs Luxembourg · 2023-09-11 · UEFA Euro qualification
Biggest loss	2–14 vs Denmark · 1967-08-23 · Friendly	0–10 vs England · 1947-05-25 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	<0.01	0.36
European Championships won	0	1
Expected European Championships	<0.01	0.59

When they've met

Meetings

Iceland 0W 1D 4L

Goals

5–12

Iceland first

First meeting

1–3

Portugal won · 2010-10-12 · UEFA Euro qualification

Most recent

0–2

Portugal won · 2023-11-19 · UEFA Euro qualification

Iceland's biggest win

—

Never beaten Portugal

Portugal's biggest win

5–3

2011-10-07 · UEFA Euro qualification

Current run

Unbeaten in 5

Portugal · since 2010-10-12

5 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2023-11-19	0–2	Portugal home	UEFA Euro qualification
2023-06-20	0–1	Iceland home	UEFA Euro qualification
2016-06-14	1–1	Neutral	UEFA Euro
2011-10-07	3–5	Portugal home	UEFA Euro qualification
2010-10-12	1–3	Iceland home	UEFA Euro qualification