Head to head

Iceland vs Poland

If they played today

Iceland at home

34% / 26% / 40%

Iceland win / draw / Poland win

Iceland–Poland

1–1 12.4%
0–1 10.0%
1–0 9.0%
1–2 8.6%
2–1 7.8%

Neutral venue

27% / 25% / 48%

Iceland win / draw / Poland win

Iceland–Poland

1–1 11.9%
0–1 10.7%
1–2 9.4%
0–2 8.4%
1–0 7.5%

Poland at home

21% / 23% / 56%

Iceland win / draw / Poland win

Iceland–Poland

0–1 11.3%
1–1 11.0%
0–2 10.0%
1–2 9.8%
0–0 6.3%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Iceland	Poland
Current Elo	1639	1779
Elo rank	81st	44th
Peak Elo	1885 (2017)	1937 (1975)
Matches played	522	892
All-time record	159W 102D 261L	384W 225D 283L
Goals for	632	1499
Goals against	876	1201
Biggest win	9–0 vs Faroe Islands · 1985-07-10 · Friendly	10–0 vs San Marino · 2009-04-01 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	2–14 vs Denmark · 1967-08-23 · Friendly	0–8 vs Denmark · 1948-06-26 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	<0.01	0.24
European Championships won	0	0
Expected European Championships	<0.01	0.10

When they've met

Meetings

Iceland 0W 2D 5L

Goals

7–15

Iceland first

First meeting

0–2

Poland won · 1978-09-06 · UEFA Euro qualification

Most recent

2–2

Drawn · 2021-06-08 · Friendly

Iceland's biggest win

—

Never beaten Poland

Poland's biggest win

4–2

2015-11-13 · Friendly

Most common result

0–2

Iceland first · twice, last 1979-10-10

Current run

Unbeaten in 7

Poland · since 1978-09-06

7 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2021-06-08	2–2	Poland home	Friendly
2015-11-13	2–4	Poland home	Friendly
2005-10-07	2–3	Poland home	Friendly
2001-08-15	1–1	Iceland home	Friendly
2000-11-15	0–1	Poland home	Friendly
1979-10-10	0–2	Poland home	UEFA Euro qualification
1978-09-06	0–2	Iceland home	UEFA Euro qualification