Head to head

Iceland vs Paraguay

If they played today

Iceland at home

25% / 25% / 50%

Iceland win / draw / Paraguay win

Iceland–Paraguay

1–1 11.7%
0–1 10.8%
1–2 9.5%
0–2 8.8%
1–0 7.2%

Neutral venue

19% / 23% / 58%

Iceland win / draw / Paraguay win

Iceland–Paraguay

0–1 11.4%
1–1 10.8%
0–2 10.4%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 6.3%

Paraguay at home

14% / 20% / 66%

Iceland win / draw / Paraguay win

Iceland–Paraguay

0–2 12.0%
0–1 11.8%
1–2 9.8%
1–1 9.7%
0–3 8.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Iceland	Paraguay
Current Elo	1639	1901
Elo rank	81st	23rd
Peak Elo	1885 (2017)	1927 (2025)
Matches played	522	788
All-time record	159W 102D 261L	276W 210D 302L
Goals for	632	1006
Goals against	876	1119
Biggest win	9–0 vs Faroe Islands · 1985-07-10 · Friendly	7–0 vs Hong Kong · 2010-11-17 · Friendly
Biggest loss	2–14 vs Denmark · 1967-08-23 · Friendly	0–8 vs Argentina · 1926-10-20 · Copa América
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	<0.01	0.23

When they've met

Iceland and Paraguay have never played each other.