Head to head

Iceland vs Moldova

If they played today

Iceland at home

70% / 19% / 12%

Iceland win / draw / Moldova win

Iceland–Moldova

2–0 12.9%
1–0 12.0%
2–1 9.5%
3–0 9.2%
1–1 8.9%

Neutral venue

62% / 21% / 16%

Iceland win / draw / Moldova win

Iceland–Moldova

1–0 11.6%
2–0 11.3%
1–1 10.2%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.3%

Moldova at home

55% / 24% / 22%

Iceland win / draw / Moldova win

Iceland–Moldova

1–1 11.2%
1–0 11.2%
2–1 9.8%
2–0 9.7%
0–1 6.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Iceland	Moldova
Current Elo	1639	1319
Elo rank	81st	165th
Peak Elo	1885 (2017)	1566 (1994)
Matches played	522	299
All-time record	159W 102D 261L	58W 70D 171L
Goals for	632	243
Goals against	876	522
Biggest win	9–0 vs Faroe Islands · 1985-07-10 · Friendly	5–0 vs Pakistan · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament
Biggest loss	2–14 vs Denmark · 1967-08-23 · Friendly	1–11 vs Norway · 2025-09-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	<0.01	0.00
European Championships won	0	0
Expected European Championships	<0.01	0.00

When they've met

Meetings

Iceland 2W 0D 0L

Goals

5–1

Iceland first

First meeting

3–0

Iceland won · 2019-09-07 · UEFA Euro qualification

Most recent

2–1

Iceland won · 2019-11-17 · UEFA Euro qualification

Iceland's biggest win

3–0

2019-09-07 · UEFA Euro qualification

Moldova's biggest win

—

Never beaten Iceland

Current run

Won last 2

Iceland · since 2019-09-07

2 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2019-11-17	2–1	Moldova home	UEFA Euro qualification
2019-09-07	3–0	Iceland home	UEFA Euro qualification