Head to head

Iceland vs Mexico

If they played today

Iceland at home

19% / 23% / 59%

Iceland win / draw / Mexico win

Iceland–Mexico

0–1 11.4%
1–1 10.7%
0–2 10.5%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 6.5%

Neutral venue

14% / 20% / 66%

Iceland win / draw / Mexico win

Iceland–Mexico

0–2 12.1%
0–1 11.9%
1–2 9.7%
1–1 9.5%
0–3 8.3%

Mexico at home

10% / 17% / 73%

Iceland win / draw / Mexico win

Iceland–Mexico

0–2 13.7%
0–1 12.2%
0–3 10.2%
1–2 9.1%
1–1 8.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Iceland	Mexico
Current Elo	1639	2012
Elo rank	81st	12th
Peak Elo	1885 (2017)	2044 (2026)
Matches played	522	1008
All-time record	159W 102D 261L	518W 231D 259L
Goals for	632	1777
Goals against	876	1057
Biggest win	9–0 vs Faroe Islands · 1985-07-10 · Friendly	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	2–14 vs Denmark · 1967-08-23 · Friendly	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	<0.01	0.64

When they've met

Meetings

Iceland 0W 2D 4L

Goals

1–10

Iceland first

First meeting

0–0

Drawn · 2003-11-19 · Friendly

Most recent

0–4

Mexico won · 2026-02-25 · Friendly

Iceland's biggest win

—

Never beaten Mexico

Mexico's biggest win

4–0

2026-02-25 · Friendly

Most common result

0–0

Iceland first · twice, last 2010-03-24

Current run

Unbeaten in 6

Mexico · since 2003-11-19

6 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2026-02-25	0–4	Mexico home	Friendly
2021-05-29	1–2	Neutral	Friendly
2018-03-23	0–3	Neutral	Friendly
2017-02-08	0–1	Neutral	Friendly
2010-03-24	0–0	Neutral	Friendly
2003-11-19	0–0	Neutral	Friendly