Head to head

Iceland vs Luxembourg

If they played today

Iceland at home

58% / 23% / 19%

Iceland win / draw / Luxembourg win

Iceland–Luxembourg

1–0 11.4%
1–1 10.7%
2–0 10.5%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.4%

Neutral venue

50% / 25% / 25%

Iceland win / draw / Luxembourg win

Iceland–Luxembourg

1–1 11.7%
1–0 10.9%
2–1 9.6%
2–0 8.9%
0–1 7.1%

Luxembourg at home

42% / 26% / 32%

Iceland win / draw / Luxembourg win

Iceland–Luxembourg

1–1 12.3%
1–0 10.2%
2–1 8.9%
0–1 8.6%
1–2 7.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Iceland	Luxembourg
Current Elo	1639	1470
Elo rank	81st	124th
Peak Elo	1885 (2017)	1567 (2023)
Matches played	522	467
All-time record	159W 102D 261L	50W 63D 354L
Goals for	632	296
Goals against	876	1204
Biggest win	9–0 vs Faroe Islands · 1985-07-10 · Friendly	4–0 vs Moldova · 2018-09-08 · UEFA Nations League
Biggest loss	2–14 vs Denmark · 1967-08-23 · Friendly	0–9 vs Portugal · 2023-09-11 · UEFA Euro qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	<0.01	0.00
European Championships won	0	0
Expected European Championships	<0.01	0.00

When they've met

Meetings

Iceland 4W 4D 1L

Goals

12–9

Iceland first

First meeting

3–1

Iceland won · 1976-08-21 · Friendly

Most recent

1–1

Drawn · 2023-10-13 · UEFA Euro qualification

Iceland's biggest win

3–1

1976-08-21 · Friendly

Luxembourg's biggest win

3–1

2023-09-08 · UEFA Euro qualification

Most common result

1–1

Iceland first · 3 times, last 2023-10-13

Current run

Unbeaten in 3

Luxembourg · since 2009-11-14

9 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2023-10-13	1–1	Iceland home	UEFA Euro qualification
2023-09-08	1–3	Luxembourg home	UEFA Euro qualification
2009-11-14	1–1	Luxembourg home	Friendly
1999-03-10	2–1	Luxembourg home	Friendly
1993-09-08	1–0	Iceland home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1993-05-20	1–1	Luxembourg home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1990-03-28	2–1	Luxembourg home	Friendly
1985-04-24	0–0	Luxembourg home	Friendly
1976-08-21	3–1	Iceland home	Friendly