Head to head

Iceland vs Japan

If they played today

Iceland at home

21% / 23% / 56%

Iceland win / draw / Japan win

Iceland–Japan

0–1 11.2%
1–1 11.1%
0–2 9.9%
1–2 9.8%
0–0 6.4%

Neutral venue

16% / 21% / 63%

Iceland win / draw / Japan win

Iceland–Japan

0–1 11.7%
0–2 11.5%
1–1 10.0%
1–2 9.8%
0–3 7.6%

Japan at home

11% / 18% / 71%

Iceland win / draw / Japan win

Iceland–Japan

0–2 13.1%
0–1 12.1%
0–3 9.4%
1–2 9.4%
1–1 8.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Iceland	Japan
Current Elo	1639	1973
Elo rank	81st	15th
Peak Elo	1885 (2017)	2012 (2026)
Matches played	522	794
All-time record	159W 102D 261L	391W 167D 236L
Goals for	632	1451
Goals against	876	915
Biggest win	9–0 vs Faroe Islands · 1985-07-10 · Friendly	14–0 vs Mongolia · 2021-03-30 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	2–14 vs Denmark · 1967-08-23 · Friendly	2–15 vs Philippines · 1917-05-10 · Far Eastern Championship Games
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	<0.01	0.16

When they've met

Meetings

Iceland 0W 0D 4L

Goals

3–9

Iceland first

First meeting

0–2

Japan won · 1971-08-13 · Friendly

Most recent

0–1

Japan won · 2026-05-31 · Friendly

Iceland's biggest win

—

Never beaten Japan

Japan's biggest win

3–1

2012-02-24 · Friendly

Current run

Won last 4

Japan · since 1971-08-13

4 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2026-05-31	0–1	Japan home	Friendly
2012-02-24	1–3	Japan home	Friendly
2004-05-30	2–3	Neutral	Friendly
1971-08-13	0–2	Iceland home	Friendly