Head to head

Iceland vs Italy

If they played today

Iceland at home

24% / 24% / 52%

Iceland win / draw / Italy win

Iceland–Italy

1–1 11.6%
0–1 11.0%
1–2 9.6%
0–2 9.1%
1–0 6.9%

Neutral venue

18% / 22% / 60%

Iceland win / draw / Italy win

Iceland–Italy

0–1 11.5%
0–2 10.7%
1–1 10.6%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 6.7%

Italy at home

13% / 20% / 67%

Iceland win / draw / Italy win

Iceland–Italy

0–2 12.3%
0–1 11.9%
1–2 9.7%
1–1 9.4%
0–3 8.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Iceland	Italy
Current Elo	1639	1922
Elo rank	81st	19th
Peak Elo	1885 (2017)	2140 (2021)
Matches played	522	893
All-time record	159W 102D 261L	477W 243D 173L
Goals for	632	1565
Goals against	876	876
Biggest win	9–0 vs Faroe Islands · 1985-07-10 · Friendly	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly
Biggest loss	2–14 vs Denmark · 1967-08-23 · Friendly	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	4
Expected World Cups	<0.01	1.66
European Championships won	0	2
Expected European Championships	<0.01	1.29

When they've met

Meetings

Iceland 1W 1D 0L

Goals

2–0

Iceland first

First meeting

2–0

Iceland won · 2004-08-18 · Friendly

Most recent

0–0

Drawn · 2005-03-30 · Friendly

Iceland's biggest win

2–0

2004-08-18 · Friendly

Italy's biggest win

—

Never beaten Iceland

Current run

Unbeaten in 2

Iceland · since 2004-08-18

2 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2005-03-30	0–0	Italy home	Friendly
2004-08-18	2–0	Iceland home	Friendly