Head to head

Hong Kong vs Tajikistan

If they played today

Hong Kong at home

35% / 26% / 39%

Hong Kong win / draw / Tajikistan win

Hong Kong–Tajikistan

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.9%
1–0 9.2%
1–2 8.5%
2–1 7.9%

Neutral venue

28% / 25% / 47%

Hong Kong win / draw / Tajikistan win

Hong Kong–Tajikistan

1–1 12.0%
0–1 10.6%
1–2 9.3%
0–2 8.2%
1–0 7.7%

Tajikistan at home

21% / 23% / 55%

Hong Kong win / draw / Tajikistan win

Hong Kong–Tajikistan

0–1 11.2%
1–1 11.2%
0–2 9.8%
1–2 9.8%
0–0 6.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Hong Kong	Tajikistan
Current Elo	1311	1438
Elo rank	167th	137th
Peak Elo	1578 (1963)	1569 (1997)
Matches played	447	201
All-time record	143W 96D 208L	78W 43D 80L
Goals for	648	299
Goals against	732	278
Biggest win	15–0 vs Guam · 2005-03-07 · EAFF Championship	16–0 vs Guam · 2000-11-26 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–7 vs Argentina · 2014-10-14 · Friendly	0–8 vs Japan · 2011-10-11 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
AFC Asian Cups won	0	0
Expected AFC Asian Cups	0.65	<0.01

When they've met

Meetings

Hong Kong 0W 1D 2L

Goals

1–3

Hong Kong first

First meeting

0–0

Drawn · 2003-11-08 · AFC Asian Cup qualification

Most recent

1–2

Tajikistan won · 2024-01-04 · Friendly

Hong Kong's biggest win

—

Never beaten Tajikistan

Tajikistan's biggest win

2–1

2024-01-04 · Friendly

Current run

Unbeaten in 3

Tajikistan · since 2003-11-08

3 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2024-01-04	1–2	Neutral	Friendly
2003-11-21	0–1	Neutral	AFC Asian Cup qualification
2003-11-08	0–0	Neutral	AFC Asian Cup qualification