Head to head

Hong Kong vs Mexico

If they played today

Hong Kong at home

5% / 13% / 81%

Hong Kong win / draw / Mexico win

Hong Kong–Mexico

0–2 15.6%
0–3 13.0%
0–1 12.4%
0–4 8.1%
1–2 7.8%

Neutral venue

3% / 11% / 86%

Hong Kong win / draw / Mexico win

Hong Kong–Mexico

0–2 17.0%
0–3 15.3%
0–1 12.6%
0–4 10.3%
1–2 6.2%

Mexico at home

2% / 8% / 91%

Hong Kong win / draw / Mexico win

Hong Kong–Mexico

0–2 18.3%
0–3 17.7%
0–4 12.9%
0–1 12.6%
0–5 7.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Hong Kong	Mexico
Current Elo	1311	2012
Elo rank	167th	12th
Peak Elo	1578 (1963)	2044 (2026)
Matches played	447	1008
All-time record	143W 96D 208L	518W 231D 259L
Goals for	648	1777
Goals against	732	1057
Biggest win	15–0 vs Guam · 2005-03-07 · EAFF Championship	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–7 vs Argentina · 2014-10-14 · Friendly	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.64

When they've met

Hong Kong and Mexico have never played each other.