Head to head

Hong Kong vs Italy

If they played today

Hong Kong at home

8% / 16% / 76%

Hong Kong win / draw / Italy win

Hong Kong–Italy

0–2 14.2%
0–1 12.3%
0–3 11.0%
1–2 8.8%
1–1 7.6%

Neutral venue

5% / 13% / 82%

Hong Kong win / draw / Italy win

Hong Kong–Italy

0–2 15.7%
0–3 13.2%
0–1 12.5%
0–4 8.3%
1–2 7.6%

Italy at home

3% / 10% / 87%

Hong Kong win / draw / Italy win

Hong Kong–Italy

0–2 17.1%
0–3 15.5%
0–1 12.6%
0–4 10.6%
1–2 6.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Hong Kong	Italy
Current Elo	1311	1922
Elo rank	167th	19th
Peak Elo	1578 (1963)	2140 (2021)
Matches played	447	893
All-time record	143W 96D 208L	477W 243D 173L
Goals for	648	1565
Goals against	732	876
Biggest win	15–0 vs Guam · 2005-03-07 · EAFF Championship	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–7 vs Argentina · 2014-10-14 · Friendly	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	4
Expected World Cups	0.00	1.66

When they've met

Hong Kong and Italy have never played each other.