Head to head

Guinea vs Uganda

If they played today

Guinea at home

50% / 25% / 25%

Guinea win / draw / Uganda win

Guinea–Uganda

1–1 11.7%
1–0 10.8%
2–1 9.5%
2–0 8.8%
0–1 7.2%

Neutral venue

42% / 26% / 32%

Guinea win / draw / Uganda win

Guinea–Uganda

1–1 12.3%
1–0 10.2%
2–1 8.8%
0–1 8.6%
1–2 7.5%

Uganda at home

34% / 26% / 40%

Guinea win / draw / Uganda win

Guinea–Uganda

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.9%
1–0 9.1%
1–2 8.5%
2–1 7.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Guinea	Uganda
Current Elo	1579	1514
Elo rank	90th	105th
Peak Elo	1799 (1977)	1707 (1978)
Matches played	539	685
All-time record	200W 153D 186L	285W 182D 218L
Goals for	730	1030
Goals against	660	809
Biggest win	6–0 vs Vanuatu · 2024-03-21 · FIFA Series	13–1 vs Kenya · 1932-08-25 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–6 vs DR Congo · 1972-07-02 · Friendly	1–8 vs Nigeria · 1991-09-23 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.66	0.56

When they've met

Meetings

Guinea 4W 1D 2L

Goals

13–9

Guinea first

First meeting

2–1

Guinea won · 1976-03-05 · African Cup of Nations

Most recent

0–1

Uganda won · 2025-03-25 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Guinea's biggest win

3–0

2000-04-23 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Uganda's biggest win

2–0

2014-09-10 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Most common result

2–1

Guinea first · twice, last 2023-11-17

Current run

Won the last meeting

Uganda · since 2025-03-25

7 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2025-03-25	0–1	Uganda home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2023-11-17	2–1	Neutral	FIFA World Cup qualification
2014-11-19	2–0	Neutral	African Cup of Nations qualification
2014-09-10	0–2	Uganda home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2000-04-23	3–0	Guinea home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2000-04-08	4–4	Uganda home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1976-03-05	2–1	Neutral	African Cup of Nations