Head to head

Guinea vs Samoa

If they played today

Guinea at home

73% / 17% / 10%

Guinea win / draw / Samoa win

Guinea–Samoa

2–0 13.5%
1–0 12.1%
3–0 10.0%
2–1 9.2%
1–1 8.3%

Neutral venue

66% / 20% / 14%

Guinea win / draw / Samoa win

Guinea–Samoa

2–0 12.0%
1–0 11.8%
2–1 9.8%
1–1 9.6%
3–0 8.1%

Samoa at home

58% / 23% / 19%

Guinea win / draw / Samoa win

Guinea–Samoa

1–0 11.4%
1–1 10.8%
2–0 10.4%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.3%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Guinea	Samoa
Current Elo	1579	1216
Elo rank	90th	179th
Peak Elo	1799 (1977)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	539	71
All-time record	200W 153D 186L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	730	99
Goals against	660	249
Biggest win	6–0 vs Vanuatu · 2024-03-21 · FIFA Series	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–6 vs DR Congo · 1972-07-02 · Friendly	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Guinea and Samoa have never played each other.