Head to head

Guinea vs Rwanda

If they played today

Guinea at home

55% / 23% / 21%

Guinea win / draw / Rwanda win

Guinea–Rwanda

1–0 11.2%
1–1 11.1%
2–0 9.9%
2–1 9.8%
0–0 6.4%

Neutral venue

47% / 25% / 27%

Guinea win / draw / Rwanda win

Guinea–Rwanda

1–1 12.0%
1–0 10.6%
2–1 9.3%
2–0 8.3%
0–1 7.7%

Rwanda at home

39% / 26% / 34%

Guinea win / draw / Rwanda win

Guinea–Rwanda

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.9%
0–1 9.2%
2–1 8.5%
1–2 7.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Guinea	Rwanda
Current Elo	1579	1448
Elo rank	90th	128th
Peak Elo	1799 (1977)	1532 (2015)
Matches played	539	280
All-time record	200W 153D 186L	88W 74D 118L
Goals for	730	289
Goals against	660	336
Biggest win	6–0 vs Vanuatu · 2024-03-21 · FIFA Series	9–0 vs Djibouti · 2007-12-13 · CECAFA Cup
Biggest loss	0–6 vs DR Congo · 1972-07-02 · Friendly	1–6 vs DR Congo · 1976-07-03 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.66	<0.01

When they've met

Meetings

Guinea 2W 2D 1L

Goals

6–5

Guinea first

First meeting

1–1

Drawn · 2004-01-28 · African Cup of Nations

Most recent

2–0

Guinea won · 2022-01-06 · Friendly

Guinea's biggest win

2–0

2022-01-06 · Friendly

Rwanda's biggest win

3–0

2022-01-03 · Friendly

Most common result

2–0

Guinea first · twice, last 2022-01-06

Current run

Won the last meeting

Guinea · since 2022-01-06

5 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2022-01-06	2–0	Rwanda home	Friendly
2022-01-03	0–3	Rwanda home	Friendly
2018-10-16	1–1	Rwanda home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2018-10-12	2–0	Guinea home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2004-01-28	1–1	Neutral	African Cup of Nations