Head to head

Guinea vs Malawi

If they played today

Guinea at home

56% / 23% / 21%

Guinea win / draw / Malawi win

Guinea–Malawi

1–0 11.3%
1–1 11.0%
2–0 10.0%
2–1 9.8%
0–0 6.3%

Neutral venue

48% / 25% / 27%

Guinea win / draw / Malawi win

Guinea–Malawi

1–1 11.9%
1–0 10.7%
2–1 9.4%
2–0 8.5%
0–1 7.5%

Malawi at home

40% / 26% / 34%

Guinea win / draw / Malawi win

Guinea–Malawi

1–1 12.4%
1–0 10.0%
0–1 9.0%
2–1 8.6%
1–2 7.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Guinea	Malawi
Current Elo	1579	1438
Elo rank	90th	137th
Peak Elo	1799 (1977)	1669 (1985)
Matches played	539	644
All-time record	200W 153D 186L	219W 182D 243L
Goals for	730	753
Goals against	660	832
Biggest win	6–0 vs Vanuatu · 2024-03-21 · FIFA Series	8–1 vs Djibouti · 2008-05-31 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–6 vs DR Congo · 1972-07-02 · Friendly	0–12 vs Ghana · 1962-10-15 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.66	0.08

When they've met

Meetings

Guinea 5W 3D 1L

Goals

13–8

Guinea first

First meeting

1–1

Drawn · 2004-07-03 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most recent

2–2

Drawn · 2023-09-09 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Guinea's biggest win

3–1

2005-09-04 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Malawi's biggest win

2–1

2009-09-05 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most common result

1–0

Guinea first · twice, last 2022-06-09

Current run

Unbeaten in 5

Guinea · since 2016-03-25

9 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2023-09-09	2–2	Malawi home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2022-06-09	1–0	Guinea home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2022-01-10	1–0	Neutral	African Cup of Nations
2016-03-29	2–1	Malawi home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2016-03-25	0–0	Guinea home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2009-09-05	1–2	Malawi home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2009-06-21	2–1	Guinea home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2005-09-04	3–1	Guinea home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2004-07-03	1–1	Malawi home	FIFA World Cup qualification