Head to head

Guinea vs Madagascar

If they played today

Guinea at home

50% / 25% / 25%

Guinea win / draw / Madagascar win

Guinea–Madagascar

1–1 11.7%
1–0 10.9%
2–1 9.6%
2–0 8.9%
0–1 7.1%

Neutral venue

42% / 26% / 32%

Guinea win / draw / Madagascar win

Guinea–Madagascar

1–1 12.3%
1–0 10.2%
2–1 8.9%
0–1 8.6%
1–2 7.5%

Madagascar at home

34% / 26% / 39%

Guinea win / draw / Madagascar win

Guinea–Madagascar

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.9%
1–0 9.1%
1–2 8.5%
2–1 7.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Guinea	Madagascar
Current Elo	1579	1511
Elo rank	90th	108th
Peak Elo	1799 (1977)	1645 (1993)
Matches played	539	320
All-time record	200W 153D 186L	118W 73D 129L
Goals for	730	434
Goals against	660	484
Biggest win	6–0 vs Vanuatu · 2024-03-21 · FIFA Series	8–1 vs Congo · 1960-04-18 · African Friendship Games
Biggest loss	0–6 vs DR Congo · 1972-07-02 · Friendly	0–7 vs DR Congo · 1965-07-19 · All-African Games
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.66	<0.01

When they've met

Meetings

Guinea 1W 2D 0L

Goals

7–4

Guinea first

First meeting

1–1

Drawn · 2011-03-27 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Most recent

2–2

Drawn · 2019-06-22 · African Cup of Nations

Guinea's biggest win

4–1

2011-06-05 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Madagascar's biggest win

—

Never beaten Guinea

Current run

Unbeaten in 3

Guinea · since 2011-03-27

3 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2019-06-22	2–2	Neutral	African Cup of Nations
2011-06-05	4–1	Guinea home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2011-03-27	1–1	Madagascar home	African Cup of Nations qualification